SKU: 36789735235

Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

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Description

Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the MarketsFooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Fooled by Randomness is the word of mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world.

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.

Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb-veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan-has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck-or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the world of trading-Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world's wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed-the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time-he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time

A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year

Binding Type: Paperback
Publisher: Random House Trade
Published: 08/23/2005
ISBN: 9780812975215
Pages: 316
Weight: 0.63lbs
Size: 8.07h x 5.16w x 0.80d
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SKU: 36789735235

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Stormy
Cuba, US
★★★★★ 1
Less than 1
Size: Medium (Pack of 1)
I purchased a Kong Extreme Dog Toy at Tractor Supply and it lasted for several weeks with no signs of damage and then my dog lost it. So I went on the search for more Kong Extreme toys for powerful chewers on Amazon. I have a 60 lb. American Straffordshire Pit and he is a fierce chewer. Most chew toys can make it for a day with some damage but by day 2 the fun is over. For him because the toy is torn to bits and for me because I have to pick up the remnants. I have learned not to get him anything fuzzy - he will rip the fuzz off and I have learned not to get him anything with a squeaker because he will not stop chewing until he finds the squeaker and rip it out. He had the end of the Kong Extreme Goodie Bond Dog Toy off in less than 30 minutes and that was alternating between the Wubba toy for fetching and the bone for chewing, I can tell the Wubba isn't going to last anytime if I let him sit down and chew on it so I had to keep taking it away from him. He likes to catch but he doesn't like to fetch. When I took the bone out of the package I was more worried about the center as it seemed very flimsy and I had doubts it would make it but my dog concentrated on the holes on the ends (with no snacks in them) and when he laid down to chew on it, he was able to rip the end off in a matter of minutes, This is also listed as for power chewers. I have other Kong toys I have ordered for him because he loves to play and chew but I can hardly afford to pay $8 to $10 per toy for him to have half a hour of chewing fun. I went back to TSC for a Kong Extreme Dog Toy and I tried one of the classic Kongs. The classic had one end missing in less than an hour. A Pit Bull breeder said the only thing he has found his dogs can play with and not destroy are bowling balls. He keeps his dogs in kennels and in a barn and my dog is a house dog so since I don't live in a bowling alley I know that I would wind up wishing he would only chew it up instead of roll it into every piece of furniture or a wall. I had such high hopes for the Kong Extreme but it is said to have a dog get attached to a toy then have to take it away from him every ten to fifteen minutes because a power chew toy can't hold up to chewing. Off to find an alternative to Kong,,,,, one toy out of five holding up is not a good recommendation and very expensive to try to find something the dog can enjoy and not destroy.
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Reviewed in the United States on January 28, 2014
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Ellen R.
Battle Creek, US
★★★★★ 5
Safest dog toy .
Size: X Large
It really is the most durable ! My 160lbs mastiff loves it .
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Reviewed in the United States on June 4, 2026
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Lane G.
Dallas, US
★★★★★ 5
KONG; consistently sturdy!
Color: bone, Size: 1 Count (Pack of 1)
This toy is small enough for my 11 pound puppy and he loves it. It's also sturdy enough (as KONG products always are) to withstand his terrier jaws and ability to destroy most toys in under 5 minutes. Keeps him busy for hours.
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Reviewed in the United States on August 26, 2025
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Paula
Lexington, US
★★★★★ 5
Tough reliable quality
Color: bone, Size: 1 Count (Pack of 1)
My dogs love these. Quality is good. You can put small treats in them for short activity.
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Reviewed in the United States on February 1, 2026
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Mary Kelleher
New York, US
★★★★★ 5
Durable
Color: bone, Size: 1 Count (Pack of 1)
Perfect chew toy for my cat that thinks it’s a dog
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Reviewed in the United States on March 26, 2026

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